WorldVitals

World Vitals / Climate pathways and futures

IPCC Scenarios

Explain and compare climate scenario pathways used in climate-risk and emissions analysis.

What this page shows

Scenario pages should distinguish observed data from modelled futures and show assumptions clearly.

The primary charts now come from normalized database observations. Snapshot cards remain useful for latest values, but time series and paired relationships get chart types that match the question.

Database charts

IPCC Scenarios over time and in context

These charts use normalized observations from the World Vitals database. Time-series charts show change; scatter plots show paired relationships where the data actually supports comparison.

World Bank

Forest area has slowly declined as a share of land

Forest area is a land-system pressure indicator, not a climate-emissions proxy.

31.142022

Hover or focus a point for exact date, value, unit, and source.

3132.133.219922022
202231.143 percent of land areaWorld Bank

World Bank

Agricultural land reveals food-system land pressure

This land-use series connects food, biodiversity, and environmental change.

36.882022

Hover or focus a point for exact date, value, unit, and source.

35.13738.819612022
202236.884 percent of land areaWorld Bank

World Bank WDI

Land-use pressure links agriculture and forest area

This paired view separates land-system structure from emissions and climate impacts.

Each dot is one paired year. Hover or focus a dot for both values and the year it represents.

3132.133.236.437.2Agricultural land, % of land areaForest area, % of land area19922022
2022Agricultural land, % of land area: 36.884Forest area, % of land area: 31.143

Metric snapshots

IPCC Scenarios latest values

Snapshot and live-rate cards are kept separate from historical charts so they do not pretend to show a trend.

Environmentlatest annual

Total CO2 emissions

42.20B
tonnes CO22025 projectionlatest annual

Projected total global CO2 emissions including fossil fuels and land-use change.

Global Carbon Project / 2025 projection
Environmentestimated live

Fossil CO2 this year

13.53B
tonnes CO22025 projectionestimated live

Run-rate estimate from Global Carbon Project fossil CO2 projection.

Global Carbon Project / 2025 projection
Energylatest annual

Access to electricity

91.6%
percent of population2023latest annual

World Bank estimate of the share of the global population with access to electricity.

World Bank / 2023
Energylatest annual

Electricity demand growth

2.2%
percent annual growth2023latest annual

IEA reported global electricity demand growth for 2023, with higher growth forecast through 2026.

International Energy Agency / 2023

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